Statistics interracial dating
This next chart displays intermarriage rates across time for the America’s four major racial/ethnic groups for the same period.The most dramatic change over the last several decades is the number of Blacks intermarrying.If White people were marrying without regard for race, we’d expect 17% of them to intermarry.In actuality, though, only 2.7% of White people intermarried.There are also fewer White people – the group that has always been least likely to intermarry.Once these demographic changes are accounted for, a large portion of the increase in intermarriage rates vanishes.In the chart below, the blue trend line is our estimate of the rate of intermarriage if the demographics of the young married population had not changed since 1980 – the orange line shows the actual increase.While there is still an increase, it is not even close to what we saw in the first chart.
In 1967, the Supreme Court ruled unanimously on the side of the couple.This is because Whites make up the majority of married people – though their share is decreasing.White people made up 83% of the married population in 1980 and 65% in 2014, meaning that the nearly 5% increase in the intermarriage rates of Whites accounts for a little over 4% of the overall increase in intermarriages.Americans on whether they believed it was acceptable for Blacks and Whites to date each other.
At that time, less than 50% of Americans thought interracial dating was acceptable. Our examination of the data suggests that the increasing rate of intermarriage may be driven by demographic changes more than changing attitudes.
Our “no-demographic change” estimate suggests that intermarriage would have only risen to 6.7% if demographics had not changed – a 1.9% increase, dramatically smaller than the 8.6% increase actually observed.